Friday, July 8, 2011

Private Roads and Transport System

Tired of road congestions and accidents? I have a suggestion: Privatise the road system. I do not know how this will unfold. The private sector can surprise you in many different ways.

Here are the possible benefits:
- Lower costs (road tax) due to competition
- Lower road casualties (you don't want deaths on your properties, do you?)
- More creative road designs (multiple layers of roads?)
- Better traffic lights co-ordinations (there are absurdly too many unnecessary ones in Singapore)
- Less congestions!

Of course, it comes with problems as well, (such as non-standardized road signs). But I believe these problems can be iron-ed out. If needed, the private sector will create a self-regulatory system to reduce potential problems/conflicts.

We have to admit that govts around the world have failed to solve the road problems. Why not give the private sector a try?

If the govt does not want to give up on the roads, how about a privatised public transport system (as in, really privatised, not majority- or semi-owned by govt)? From my conversation with taxi drivers, I found that there exists such things in the past. It is more efficient, the buses come on scheduled times, and ferry people from one point to one point.

While the Singapore public transport system is efficient compared to other countries, I feel that there is too much wastage, and a lot can be improved. It takes me a painful 1.5 hours to make a 25km journey across the island in a bus.

The bus stop in front of my house services 7 buses. Sometimes they come all at once, sometimes you wait 15 mins before one even appears. Doing some simple calculation, by right I can expect about 25-30 buses per hour at my bus stop. This sounds good, but it's inefficient.  Bus arrival times are irregular and many buses are often empty. And one wonders why transport prices keep increasing. The incumbents are inefficient! There is lack of competition. Many people are against monopolies, but why let the govt monopolize businesses here??

Competition will improve quality and reduce costs. This is very evident in markets where there are very little govt intervention, regulations, and involvement. One prime example is the computer and phone business. In places where govts are involved - such as education, medicine, and public transport - prices keep rising (for sure), and quality keeps dropping/remains stagnant/rises slowly at best.

I hope that more politicians will address this issue and place more faith in the free market. One should not be too quick to blame the private sector for problems (such as the sub-prime crisis). If examined deeper, one will find that the root causes of the problems are the rules and policies set by the govt/central banks.

Thursday, May 26, 2011

A response to an article in The Straits Times

I wrote an e-mail to the author of a straits times article:


Dear Hui Yee,

I refer to your article "When Free Markets Fail" on The Straits Times dated May 25, 2011. The article argues that free markets are not fail-safe, and active government intervention can forestall a global economic collapse.

In fact, from the Austrian School of Economics' point of view, it is totally the opposite.

The US hasn't had free markets for decades. How can one call the US a free market when the Federal Reserve is manipulating the interest rates, and the governments intervene whenever they have the chance to do so?

The 2007 sub-prime crisis has its roots in around 2000. Back then, the dot-com bubble has just burst, and President Bush and Greenspan, not wanting a recession which will cure the imbalances, injected tons of paper money into the system. Interest rates were lowered to 1%. The market is flooded with cheap money. The result is that people used this money for speculative purposes, such as the housing market. 

An economy can only be healthy if sound money is being used. And sound money means letting market forces determine the all-so-important interest rate. Sound money does not mean having a central bank and a small group of men trying to set interest rate for the whole economy.

Concurrently, Freddie and Fannie were created. These government organisations backed the mortgages. With these government guarantees, who wouldn't want a piece of the action in the housing market? 

Free market capitalism only works if greed is being balanced by fear. The government removes all these fear with those institutions that they created. Without these institutions, the population wouldn't have allowed such wild speculations to go on! The bankers won't dare to bet so heavily on housing. The depositors won't allow bankers to gamble with their money. But the government created this moral hazard, which effectively removes the natural checks and balances that the market provides. Nowadays, I bet people spend more time researching on the camera that they are buying, instead of the balance sheets of the banks that they are going to put their live savings in. Why? Because government guarantees the deposits. But where do government get their resources from? By printing money, in most cases.

I hope that some of these arguments can dispel the myth that free market has been at work in our world. We haven't have free markets at all - far from it.

Thank you for your time. I would be glad to get a reply from you.

Have a nice day.

Regards,
Jin

Tuesday, May 17, 2011

Some musings



I started studying monetary history after graduating from NUS (I'm sorry to say this but I wasted 4 yrs of my time and money there learning nonsense). What I learnt is something profound, something distasteful and disgusting.

When I first started, I could see right away the MAIN source of the illnesses in our world today. Smaller and smaller families, dual-income families, rising poverty, rising income-gap, rising education and healthcare costs, rising costs of living, rising housing costs, wars..... And the souce of all these is the Central Banking System. The Fractional Reserve Banking System complements the Central Banking System nicely. They are both good friends to each other.

I couldn't keep this knowledge to myself, hence I started this blog. I knew not many will read it, and I didn't actively promote it, but heck, I just need to vent my thoughts somewhere. Some good friends of mine bothered to read my humble opinions though, and I am grateful for that.

While I think gold and silver and commodities are the best protection against the craziness of the world right now, I am by no means advocating it as a get-rich scheme (although you can get rich investing in commodities :D ). Some of my friends thought that I am too free, too conspiracist in my thinking, but I am glad that some of them bothered to do some research, and came to the same conclusions.

We live in this world thinking that things are always the way it is, but it is most certainly not! Do not believe what the economics professors teach in school! The current fiat monetary system is only 40 years old, and I think the end is near. I am not saying the world is DOOMED. Just saying this current monetary system will end somehow.

ANYWAY, here are some nice quotes I have gathered through the course of my study:


"A system of capitalism presumes sound money, not fiat money manipulated by a central bank. Capitalism cherishes voluntary contracts and interest rates that are determined by savings, not credit creation by a central bank." — Ron Paul, the only politician in the world whom I support

“I too have been a close observer of the doings of the Bank of the United States. I have had men watching you for a long time, and am convinced that you have used the funds of the bank to speculate in the breadstuffs of the country. When you won, you divided the profits amongst you, and when you lost, you charged it to the Bank…You are a den of vipers and thieves. I have determined to rout you out and, by the Eternal, I will rout you out.” Andrew Jackson,  the first and only President in U.S. history to pay off the National Debt. He fought valiantly to close down the 2nd Central Bank of the USA.

"It is well enough that people of the nation do not understand our banking and monetary system, for if they did, I believe there would be a revolution before tomorrow morning." - Henry Ford, founder of the Ford Motor Company

“Those few who can understand the system (check book money and credit) will either be so interested in its profits, or so dependent on it favors, that there will be little opposition from that class, while on the other hand, the great body of people mentally incapable of comprehending the tremendous advantage that capital derives from the system, will bear its burdens without complaint, and perhaps without even suspecting that the system is inimical to their interests.” - The Rothschilds of London

"If the American people ever allow private banks to control the issue of their money, first by inflation and then by deflation, the banks and corporations that will grow up around them, will deprive the people of their property until their children will wake up homeless on the continent their fathers conquered." - Thomas Jefferson, third President of the United States, and one of the Founding Fathers of the USA


The Source of Inflation

This is an excellent article, with ample examples and statistics:

http://www.theburningplatform.com/?p=15246

Saturday, May 7, 2011

Tuesday, February 22, 2011

Poor Ah ma

A few nights ago, I was rushing to the bus stop to catch a bus home. It was around 10.10pm, and I had just finished my last tuition lesson. Missing the bus would be bad, because I would have to wait for 20mins for the next bus. 

I saw the bus approaching, and I was still some distance away from the bus stop when an old lady stopped me. She had been eye-ing me for a few seconds. With a croaking voice, she asked for $1 so that she can buy a bread from a nearby vending machine. Hastily, I reached into my pocket, and could only produce 40 cents. I told her I have no more coins, and rushed off just in time to board the bus. 

I regretted my action. On my way home, this incident dominated my mind. I am angry and disappointed with 2 things. 

The first concerns myself. I am in too much of a hurry to live life, to earn money, to save time. I could have taken out my $10 bill for the lady. It doesn't matter if I missed the bus. I could have chatted with her for 20 mins. But maybe I have been so used to giving donations in coins, and giving in notes just didn't cross my mind at that point in time. 

Secondly, why is she in such a sorry plight? I'm sure there are thousands of people like her living in Singapore right now. People paint such a great picture of this prosperous country, but beneath the surface, a lot of people are struggling. This has got to do with the current monetary system that the world practices. It does nothing but punish the working class and the uninformed. Absolutely nothing but this!

I wish I can change the world. But I do not have the power to do so. All I can do is to help as many people as I can. And at least, try to reach out to people with Austrian Economics. I am interested in setting up a school to teach these kind of stuff. A school which teaches economic freedom, civil liberty, and the limited roles that governments around the world should play in our lives. 

And most certainly, my school will teach that the world will be a much better place without central banks. This central banking system aggregates too much power in the hands of too few people. It is open to abuse and it has been going on for more than a century. People are not outraged because the effects are not that obvious. But slowly and surely, they're creeping up on them. And even if people are outraged and revolt, they often miss the point. This problem will persist if they cannot see the root cause.

No Central banks means less government, less wars, less poverty, and more liberty for everyone.

As I update this blog, silver has hit $33-34. The dip to $27 has been fully bought into. I bought some during the dip but wish I have bought more. Gold is above $1,400. Oil is $108 a barrel. Food inflation is everywhere. The Middle East is in revolt. This is the effect of the unprecedented global money printing in the 2008 economic crisis. This is just the beginning. It is just going to get worse, especially in Western countries.


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Saturday, January 15, 2011

US Debt Ceiling

The Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, and many economists were saying that if the US doesn't raise the debt ceiling, they are going to default, and it will be catastrophic for the US and the world. (They have raised it, what, 6 times in 3 years?)

To me, this is an official admission that the US is running a Ponzi Scheme. The world has to loan them money or else they will default. 

The end is near for them. Ponzi Schemes always end!


 
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